TTD earnings analysis

#Earnings This is a fairly new issue (oldest earnings date is Nov 2016). It has had huge moves up but minimal moves down. I’m looking at selling the 100 puts, since that’s farther down than its biggest drop. Unless somebody warns me off it!

$TTD reports tonight. Below are details on earnings 1-day moves over the last 8 quarters (its entire history).

Aug. 9, 2018 AC 37.13%
May 10, 2018 AC 43.39% Biggest UP
Feb. 22, 2018 AC 23.84%
Nov. 9, 2017 AC -13.96% Biggest Down
Aug. 10, 2017 AC 8.76%
May 11, 2017 AC 30.10%
Feb. 16, 2017 AC -2.84%
Nov. 10, 2016 AC 8.62%

Avg + or – 21.08%
Bias 16.88%, huge positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 127.80 the data suggests these ranges.
Based on current IV (expected move per TOS): 105.08 to 150.52
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 100.86 to 154.74
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (43.4%): 72.35 to 183.25

Open for requests on other symbols.