OSTK earnings trade and analysis

#Earnings — $OSTK reports Monday morning. Below are details on earnings FIVE-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Thu 11/08/2018 AC -12.62%
Thu 08/09/2018 AC -14.77% Biggest DOWN
Tue 05/08/2018 AC -4.19%
Thu 03/15/2018 AC -3.63%
Wed 11/08/2017 AC +40.40% Biggest UP
Thu 08/03/2017 AC +6.99%
Thu 05/04/2017 AC -1.29%
Tue 01/31/2017 AC +1.20%
Thu 11/03/2016 AC +21.75%
Thu 08/04/2016 AC -0.74%
Tue 05/03/2016 AC +2.96%
Tue 02/09/2016 AC +30.59%

Avg (+ or -) 11.76%
Bias 5.55%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 20.25 the data suggests these ranges over FIVE days:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 16.43 to 24.07
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 17.87 to 22.63
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (40.4%): 12.07 to 28.43
Based on DOWN max only (-14.8%): 17.26

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