ULTA GOOGL BUCS BUPS Closed / NUGT CHWY Puts Rolled / IBM NFLX BUPS

#bucs
$GOOGL STC 10/18 1230/1240 BUCS at 8.49. BTO at 5.32 on 9/24
$ULTA STC 10/18 230/250 BUCS at 16.50. BTO at 9.45 on 9/24

#bups
$GOOGL BTC 10/18 1200/1210 BUPS at .20. STO at 3.30 on 9/18

#shortputs
$NUGT BTC 10/18 31 put and STO 11/1 30 put at added .35 credit.
$CHWY BTC 10/18 28 put and STO 11/1 28 put at added .23 credit.

#bups
$NFLX STO 11/15 265/275 BUPS at 1.60. Thank you @ramie
$IBM STO 11/15 130/135 BUPS at 2.25

HON closed

#Earnings Sold to close $HON Oct18/Oct25 165 #DoubleCalendar for .96. Bought yesterday for .86, so I basically covered commissions. Now it has pulled back and better profit is available. But that’s three calendars in one day… one breakeven, one 50% winner, one double+.

#earnings #closing FDX Sept. 17…

#earnings #closing FDX

Sept. 17 sold an Oct. 18, 150/190 call, FDX went down down down, ended up with a Nov. 15 straddle, closed today for a small gain as FDX has worked its way to 151.

#callratiospread GLD #tastytradefollow Sold Dec….

#callratiospread GLD

#tastytradefollow Sold Dec. 20 long 142/short 145/short 145 ratio spread for 1.06

ISRG Earnings

#Earnings #JadeLizards – Going back into this one with the lizard and adding a protective put in case it pulls an “ULTA”. Need a down move anywhere inside the expected move with no upside risk.

Sold ISRG OCT 18 2019 460.0/505.0/530.0/535.0 Jade Lizard @ 5.25

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Oct 18th (Friday PM) 2950/2960-3025/3035 condors for .45. 10-wide, double size. IV 9.42%, SPX 2997.

MAN earnings analysis

#Earnings $MAN reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 19, 2019 BO +0.03%
April 18, 2019 BO +11.60% Biggest UP
Jan. 31, 2019 BO +3.95%
Oct. 19, 2018 BO -3.77%
July 20, 2018 BO +0.52%
April 20, 2018 BO -14.48% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 2, 2018 BO -7.35%
Oct. 20, 2017 BO +0.04%
July 24, 2017 BO -8.96%
April 21, 2017 BO -2.89%
Jan. 31, 2017 BO +0.84%
Oct. 21, 2016 BO +9.71%

Avg (+ or -) 5.35%
Bias -0.90%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 85.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 80.84 to 90.16
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 80.93 to 90.07
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (14.5%): 73.12 to 97.88
Based on UP max only (+11.6%): 95.42

Open to requests for other symbols.

TEAM earnings analysis

#Earnings $TEAM reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 25, 2019 AC +8.57%
April 17, 2019 AC -8.31%
Jan. 17, 2019 AC -2.42%
Oct. 18, 2018 AC -14.29% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2018 AC +10.48%
April 19, 2018 AC -6.53%
Jan. 18, 2018 AC -4.55%
Oct. 19, 2017 AC +24.64% Biggest UP
July 27, 2017 AC -2.18%
April 27, 2017 AC +3.01%
Jan. 19, 2017 AC +2.22%
Oct. 27, 2016 AC -3.92%

Avg (+ or -) 7.59%
Bias 0.56%, slight positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 122.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 112.00 to 132.00
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 112.74 to 131.26
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (24.6%): 91.94 to 152.06
Based on DOWN max only (-14.3%): 104.57

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar

CMG

BTC $CMG 790/800 10/18/2019 #BuPS @0.14. Was STO 10/10 @1.5.

URI closed

#Earnings . Sold to close $URI Oct18/Oct25 122p/123p #DoubleCalendar for 1.55. Possible to get over 2.00 now. Bought yesterday for .97 – 1.05.

NFLX

BTC $NFLX 315/325 #BeCS @0.10. Was STO 10/7 @1.05. Only partial fill so far.
Holding, though expecting to expire $NFLX 10/18/2019 225/235 #BuPS which was STO 10/3 @ 1.56.

Closing ROKU

Bought to close $ROKU 10/18 130/140/155/165 iron condor @ 3.73. Overall profit on rolled/adjusted position:
-Original sale 9/20 170/180 BeCS @ 2.82
-Rolled 9/20 170/180 BeCS out to 10/18 130/140/180/190 iron condor @ .54 credit
-Rolled 9/20 170/180 BeCS down to 155/165 BeCS @ 1.37 credit
Total credit taken in: 4.73
Debit to close: 3.73
Profit: 1.00

I was running out of time (as of Monday was looking at a full loss on the put spread side) but the move up over the last couple of days has helped this position. Been on the wrong end of strong moves enough times so I’ll take this one and move on.

XBI

#ShortPuts – Nice recovery in this thing…

Bought to Close XBI OCT 18 2019 78.0 Puts @ .09 (sold for 1.55)

#earnings #closing URI HON URI…

#earnings #closing URI HON
URI #shortstrangles Sold Nov. 15, 105/140 for 2.08, bought today for 1.00
URI #doublecalendar Following Jeff-bought double calendar for 1.00, sold today for 1.62
HON #doublecalendar Following Jeff-bought double calendar for .89, sold today for 1.21
Thank you Jeff for the data and trade ideas

NFLX put spread

Sold $NFLX 11/15 275/265 bull put spread @ 1.72

URI

#ShortPuts – Not an earnings trade but still gotta book for an overnight gain. This filled immediately and I had placed the order a dime under the mid. Might be able to do even better.

Bought to Close URI NOV 22 2019 112.0 Put @ .90 (sold for 2.65)

TSLA

STO $TSLA 300/310 Nov 15 2019 #BeCS @1.21

SOXL

#ShortPuts – Just a small one taking off 30 days early…

Bought to Close SOXL NOV 15 2019 100.0 Put @ .30 (sold fat finger for 2.80)

UVXY

#BearCallSpreads – Completely out of Nov call spreads now. Will be looking to add to Dec and start Jan on next spike…

Bought to Close UVXY NOV 15 2019 37.0/47.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .15 (sold for 1.60 average)
Bought to Close UVXY NOV 15 2019 35.0/45.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .18 (sold for 1.30 average)

Closing NUGT

Bought to close 10/18 27 calls @ .96 (sold for 5.07 on 9/16). This was a rollout from 9/20 26 calls. Overall profit .74.

DRIP

#BearCallSpreads – OK…I’m really done now. Full position.

Sold DRIP DEC 20 2019 130.0/140.0 Bear Call Spreads @ 1.50

NFLX dub cal closed

#Earnings Sold to close $NFLX Oct18/Oct25 285 #DoubleCalendar for 3.00. Bought yesterday for 1.37. You will be able to get more if price continued to drop toward the strike.

NFLX short calls

Sold $NFLX 11/15 340 calls @ 1.30. Covered (against long stock).

ISRG earnings analysis

#Earnings $ISRG reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

July 18, 2019 AC -1.45%
April 18, 2019 AC -7.00% Biggest DOWN
Jan. 24, 2019 AC -3.93%
Oct. 18, 2018 AC -3.45%
July 19, 2018 AC -0.86%
April 17, 2018 AC +8.17% Biggest UP
Jan. 25, 2018 AC -2.12%
Oct. 19, 2017 AC +3.39%
July 20, 2017 AC -4.55%
April 18, 2017 AC +6.36%
Jan. 24, 2017 AC +5.09%
Oct. 18, 2016 AC -5.56%

Avg (+ or -) 4.33%
Bias -0.49%, slight negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 535.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 512.55 to 557.45
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 511.85 to 558.15
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (8.2%): 491.29 to 578.71
Based on DOWN max only (-7.0%): 497.55

Open to requests for other symbols.

#earnings #closing NFLX Yesterday sold…

#earnings #closing NFLX

Yesterday sold Oct. 18, 300/310/310/325 for 1.25, sold for 124 at the open.
This was a Fauzia trade for those who follow TastyTrade