CTXS earnings analysis & trade

#Earnings $CTXS reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 24, 2019 AC -1.97%
July 24, 2019 AC -5.60%
April 24, 2019 AC -0.93%
Jan. 23, 2019 AC -6.25%
Oct. 24, 2018 AC +2.12%
July 25, 2018 AC +3.45%
April 25, 2018 AC +4.75% Biggest UP
Jan. 31, 2018 AC +0.72%
Oct. 25, 2017 AC -1.49%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC -2.02%
April 26, 2017 AC -3.18%
Jan. 25, 2017 AC -6.49% Biggest DOWN

Avg (+ or -) 3.25%
Bias -1.41%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 119.40 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 114.03 to 124.77
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 115.14 to 122.86
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.5%): 111.28 to 126.72
Based on UP max only (+4.8%): 124.65

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalemndar, #doublecalendar