LK Liking

#coveredcalls
$LK BTC 3/20 50 call at 2.80. STO on 1/14 for 6.60.

#shortstrangle
$LK STO 1/31 41 call/37 put at 1.73. The call is covered

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Jan 29th 3195/3215-3320/3340 condors for 1.00, IV 14.62%, SPX 3280. Short deltas -.06, .06

LK

#ShortPuts – I’ll take it for a one night stand…

Bought to Close LK FEB 7 2020 30.0 Puts @ .45 (sold for 1.01)

ANET BUPS

#bups
$STO 2/21 212.50/222.50 BUPS at 2.90. Earnings 2/13

MCD earnings analysis & trade

#Earnings $MCD reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 22, 2019 BO -5.04% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2019 BO +0.53%
April 30, 2019 BO +0.22%
Jan. 30, 2019 BO -0.21%
Oct. 23, 2018 BO +6.31% Biggest UP
July 26, 2018 BO -1.73%
April 30, 2018 BO +5.77%
Jan. 30, 2018 BO -2.97%
Oct. 24, 2017 BO +0.33%
July 25, 2017 BO +4.75%
April 25, 2017 BO +5.56%
Jan. 23, 2017 BO -0.71%

Avg (+ or -) 2.84%
Bias 1.07%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 212.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 205.74 to 218.26
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 205.97 to 218.03
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.3%): 198.62 to 225.38
Based on DOWN max only (-5.0%): 201.32

Open to requests for other symbols.

#doublecalendar

ROKU Calls / IIPR Puts

#coveredcalls
$ROKU STO 1/31 130 calls at 2.16

#shortputs
$IIPR STO 3/20 75 put at 1.80 Hope this is better late than never. Thanks @jsd501

AAPL condor

#Earnings Sold to Open $AAPL Jan 31st 287.5/290-335/337.5 condors for .61. Short strikes outside of previous max moves.

AAPL earnings analysis

#Earnings $AAPL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 30, 2019 AC +2.26%
July 30, 2019 AC +2.04%
April 30, 2019 AC +4.90%
Jan. 29, 2019 AC +6.83% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -6.63% Biggest DOWN
July 31, 2018 AC +5.89%
May 1, 2018 AC +4.41%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC -4.33%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +2.61%
Aug. 1, 2017 AC +4.72%
May 2, 2017 AC -0.30%
Jan. 31, 2017 AC +6.09%

Avg (+ or -) 4.25%
Bias 2.37%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 312.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 294.74 to 330.26
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 299.22 to 325.78
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.8%): 291.16 to 333.84
Based on DOWN max only (-6.6%): 291.78

Open to requests for other symbols.

SPX bearish

#SPX1dte Bought to open $SPX Jan 31st 3200/3180 put spreads for 2.65.

#earnings #closing FFIV Bought 120/145…

#earnings #closing FFIV

Bought 120/145 strangle for 1.65, sold yesterday for 2.36