#spxcampaign
$SPX 10/30 2980/3000/3065/3085 Expired
$SPX STO 10/31 2985/3005/3070/3090 at .70 Hoping for a treat
#bups
$NFLX BTC 11/15 250/260 at .40. STO at 1.85
Daily Archives: Wednesday, October 30, 2019
LYFT
Reverse Iron Condor
LYFT earning Call credit spread and Put credit spread I am buying 50 selling 47 call credit at 0.66 and buy 39.5 selling 36.5 put credit spread at 0.40 with 5 point wide spread, expiring 1 NOV 2019
AAPL Earnings
#BullPutSpreads #Earnings – Since the market is never going down again I’m going slightly bullish in AAPL earnings. Selling a slightly in the money put spread. If it tanks still getting in at a good basis…
Sold AAPL NOV 01 2019 245.0/240.0 Bull Put Spread @ 2.30
SPX 7 day trade Sold…
SPX 7 day trade Sold Iron Condor Nov 06th 3089/3105 2965/2945 for 2.30.
SPX 1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Oct 31st 2995/3005-3070/3080. Ten-wide, double size. IV: 9.09%, SPX 3045.
Expiring: Oct 30th 2980/3000-3065/3085, sold yesterday for 1.15.
VXX long puts
#VXXGame This is the first closing of my $VXX Jan 2020 20 puts, sold for 2.65. Bought between Jan 22 and Aug 27, avg price 1.30. Still holding several more.
LABU
#CoveredCalls – Basic out and up roll…
Rolled LABU NOV 01 2019 34.0 Call to NOV 29 2019 35.5 Call @ even
EA closed
#Earnings Sold to close $EA Nov01/Nov08 90.5 #DoubleCalendars for 1.19 & 1.20. Bought yesterday for .49 and .50.
#earnings AAPL FB AAPL Sold…
#earnings AAPL FB
AAPL Sold Dec. 20, 210/270 strangle for 2.90
FB Sold Dec. 20 160/170/205/215 for 3.00 #tastytradefollow
Thank you for the data Jeff
#earnings #closing EA AMD SHOP…
TNA
#CoveredCalls – Hanging on to these a little longer and squeezing a few more pennies out of them. Keeping plenty of downside protection. Tiny pullback today helping with the ITM roll…
Rolled TNA NOV 01 2019 54.5 Calls to NOV 15 2019 54.5 Calls @ .50 credit (basis 41.40 on this batch)
UVXY
#BearCallSpreads – All my call spreads are green with stops set for profits so adding a few more a little lower. Let’s see if ‘ol JP can say something to give me a chance to add. Selling against short puts so hoping these take a little heat…
Sold UVXY DEC 20 2019 25.0/35.0 Bear Call Spreads @ .88
Based on the TOS analyze tab 33.50 is where I would start going a little negative delta on my overall position so still a little room to add to the short call side…
FB dub cal
#Earnings Bought to open $FB Nov01/Nov08 187.5 #DoubleCalendar for 1.00.
WDC earnings analysis
#Earnings $WDC reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
July 31, 2019 AC +3.00%
April 29, 2019 AC +1.28%
Jan. 24, 2019 AC +7.52% Biggest UP
Oct. 25, 2018 AC -18.18% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2018 AC -7.73%
April 26, 2018 AC -7.99%
Jan. 25, 2018 AC +1.82%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC -2.53%
July 27, 2017 AC -7.54%
April 27, 2017 AC +3.92%
Jan. 25, 2017 AC -1.93%
Oct. 26, 2016 AC +5.41%
Avg (+ or -) 5.74%
Bias -1.91%, negative bias on earnings.
With stock at 62.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 58.27 to 66.73
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 58.91 to 66.09
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (18.2%): 51.14 to 73.86
Based on UP max only (+7.5%): 67.20
Open to requests for other symbols.
HLF closed
#Earnings Sold to close $HLF Nov01/Nov08 40.5 #DoubleCalendar for .22. Bought yesterday for .38. It’s running higher with no intention of stopping…. grabbed what’s available before it gets to zero.
FB earnings analysis
#Earnings $FB reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
July 24, 2019 AC -1.93%
April 24, 2019 AC +5.84%
Jan. 30, 2019 AC +10.81% Biggest UP
Oct. 30, 2018 AC +3.80%
July 25, 2018 AC -18.96% Biggest DOWN
April 25, 2018 AC +9.06%
Jan. 31, 2018 AC +3.31%
Nov. 1, 2017 AC -2.04%
July 26, 2017 AC +2.91%
May 3, 2017 AC -0.62%
Feb. 1, 2017 AC -1.79%
Nov. 2, 2016 AC -5.63%
Avg (+ or -) 5.56%
Bias 0.40%, small positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 188.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 175.88 to 200.12
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 177.55 to 198.45
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (19.0%): 152.36 to 223.64
Based on UP max only (+10.8%): 208.32
Open to requests for other symbols.
AAPL earnings analysis
#Earnings $AAPL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
July 30, 2019 AC +2.04%
April 30, 2019 AC +4.90%
Jan. 29, 2019 AC +6.83% Biggest UP
Nov. 1, 2018 AC -6.63% Biggest DOWN
July 31, 2018 AC +5.89%
May 1, 2018 AC +4.41%
Feb. 1, 2018 AC -4.33%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +2.61%
Aug. 1, 2017 AC +4.72%
May 2, 2017 AC -0.30%
Jan. 31, 2017 AC +6.09%
Oct. 25, 2016 AC -2.24%
Avg (+ or -) 4.25%
Bias 2.00%, positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 242.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 231.15 to 253.85
Based on AVERAGE one-day move over last 12 quarters: 232.20 to 252.80
Based on MAXIMUM one-day move over last 12 Q’s (6.8%): 225.94 to 259.06
Based on DOWN max only (-6.6%): 226.42
Open to requests for other symbols.
Options Bistro 