EOG earnings analysis

#Earnings — $EOG reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 2, 2018 BO -4.24%
Aug. 3, 2018 BO -2.79%
May 3, 2018 AC -1.16%
Feb. 28, 2018 BO -5.16% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 3, 2017 BO +1.50%
Aug. 2, 2017 BO -2.26%
May 8, 2017 AC -0.05%
Feb. 27, 2017 AC -0.93%
Nov. 3, 2016 AC -0.30%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC +7.02% Biggest UP
May 5, 2016 AC -3.17%
Feb. 25, 2016 AC -1.45%

Avg (+ or -) 2.50%
Bias -1.08%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 94.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 90.14 to 98.86
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 92.14 to 96.86
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (7.0%): 87.87 to 101.13

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