Rolling TQQQ and NFLX

#longleaps #syntheticcoveredcalls
$TQQQ BTC 2/15 48.5 calls and STO 3/1 50 calls for additional .30 credit. Seemed to be rolling a lot more than I thought. Good exercise I suppose.

#coveredcalls
$NFLX BTC 2/15 350 calls and STO 2/22 362.50 calls for 4.60 debit. But would gain 12.50 if called away.
$NFLX looked strong today. Stock at 359.97.

#earnings TRIP Sold March 15,…

#earnings TRIP

Sold March 15, 47.50/72.50 for 1.20

#fuzzy GILD 70/70 10 DTE…

#fuzzy
GILD 70/70 10 DTE rolled out to 31 DTE for 0.28 credit. Cost basis down to 7.72. Hoping to have it to zero by the summer.

TQQQ calls

#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
Still licking the wounds of last few weeks of calls being blown through.
Sold $TQQQ Feb 22nd 48 calls for 2.20

SOXL TNA TQQQ WYNN

#CoveredCalls – Out the rest of the week so need to roll these today. Can’t get a pullback so doing best I can. This is definitely the downside of covered calls when profits are blocked. Can’t go up forever so at least some nice hedges for pullbacks. All covered calls…

SOXL: This one hurts with a basis of 72 covered at 95 and stock at 122. Uugh!
Rolled SOXL FEB 15 2019 95.0 Calls to MAR 15 2019 97.0 Calls @ .20 credit

TNA:
Too many to list. Most are ok and a couple DITM

TQQQ:
Rolled TQQQ FEB 15 2019 40.0 Calls to APR 18 2019 42.0 Calls @ .10 debit

WYNN:
Rolled WYNN FEB 15 2019 110.0 Call to JUN 21 2019 115.0 Call @ 1.63 credit
Rolled WYNN FEB 15 2019 120.0 Call to MAR 22 2019 124.0 Call @ .40 credit

Closing more

#Earnings Sold to close partial $UAA Feb 15th 21 calls for 1.25.
Sold to close partial $SHOP dbl cals for 2.55

#earnings ATVI Sold March 15,…

#earnings ATVI

Sold March 15, 35/50 strangle for 1.03. Thanks for the info Jeff.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold $SPX Feb 13th 2690/2710-2775/2795 condors for 1.00. Slightly more aggressive, with a .07 delta, because .06 or below was not enough premium. (IV: 11.0%, SPX 2747)

ATVI earnings analysis

#Earnings — $ATVI reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 8, 2018 AC -12.39% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 2, 2018 AC -3.69%
May 3, 2018 AC +4.51%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC +1.90%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC -3.43%
Aug. 3, 2017 AC -3.06%
May 4, 2017 AC +1.37%
Feb. 9, 2017 AC +18.87% Biggest UP
Nov. 3, 2016 AC -3.85%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC -0.66%
May 5, 2016 AC +8.47%
Feb. 11, 2016 AC -7.86%

Avg (+ or -) 5.84%
Bias 0.02%, no bias on earnings.

With stock at 41.20 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 37.23 to 45.17
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 38.79 to 43.61
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (18.9%): 33.43 to 48.97

TRIP earnings analysis

#Earnings — $TAP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 7, 2018 AC +15.25%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC -11.22%
May 8, 2018 AC +22.79% Biggest UP
Feb. 14, 2018 AC +4.12%
Nov. 6, 2017 AC -23.22% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 8, 2017 AC +2.50%
May 9, 2017 AC +2.28%
Feb. 15, 2017 AC -10.96%
Nov. 8, 2016 AC -16.59%
Aug. 3, 2016 AC -8.49%
May 4, 2016 AC -1.72%
Feb. 11, 2016 BO +12.36%

Avg (+ or -) 10.96%
Bias -1.08%, slight negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 60.30 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 53.58 to 67.02
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 53.69 to 66.91
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (23.2%): 46.30 to 74.30