TRIP earnings analysis

#Earnings — $TAP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 7, 2018 AC +15.25%
Aug. 1, 2018 AC -11.22%
May 8, 2018 AC +22.79% Biggest UP
Feb. 14, 2018 AC +4.12%
Nov. 6, 2017 AC -23.22% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 8, 2017 AC +2.50%
May 9, 2017 AC +2.28%
Feb. 15, 2017 AC -10.96%
Nov. 8, 2016 AC -16.59%
Aug. 3, 2016 AC -8.49%
May 4, 2016 AC -1.72%
Feb. 11, 2016 BO +12.36%

Avg (+ or -) 10.96%
Bias -1.08%, slight negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 60.30 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 53.58 to 67.02
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 53.69 to 66.91
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (23.2%): 46.30 to 74.30