#optionsexpiration
$SPX 2690/2710/2795/2775 STO at .80
#closing
$COST 2/15 207.5/212.50 BUPS at 1.00 STO at 2.20 54% of max. I am treading lightly. Erring on the side of keeping my money.
$UAL BTC 2/15 90 call at .20 STO on 1/15 as part of earnings strangle at .61. The put side which brought in .49 will, I expect, expire Friday. STO at .49. Thank you @thomberg1201 for the trade and @jeffcp66 for supporting data.
Sold $NFLX Mar 15 335/325 BuPS for 2.55.
#Earnings Sold the last batch of $SHOP Feb15/Feb22 #DoubleCalendar for 3.10. Bought for 1.60 on Monday.
Sold Feb14 IC (monthly) 2790/2795/2720/2715 @.50 x2
2/14 update: Closed call spreads for .05 and put spreads for .10. Total profit $70.
#spx1-dte
#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 14th (monthlys) 2690/2710-2790/2810 condors for 1.00. These are monthlys, so they stop trading at Thursday’s close but settle Friday morning. I will close the trade before tomorrow’s close to avoid gap risk.
Expiring: Feb 13th condor, sold yesterday for 1.00.
#Earnings Bought to Open $NTAP Feb15/Feb22 68 #DoubleCalendar for .39.
#Earnings Bought to Open $CSCO Feb15/Feb22 47.5 #DoubleCalendar for .18.
Price has gone up on NTAP so looking to buy now.
#Earnings #DoubleCalendar Both $NTAP and $CSCO make very cheap double calendars. Especially NTAP, which can probably be bought for around .20 and may offer profits as high as 2.00, if there is not a super large move. Even with a modest move, this should still turn a profit, but if not, it’s only .20. CSCO will go for a similar price but will offer a lower return.
sto (2 dte) sdiv 20 put strike @1.05
to collect premium and divi next month/long term hold for 8.58% return.
current price 18.91.
possible 13.3% annual return first year then 8% plus after that.
Sto spx march 15 put (29 dte) 2570/2565/ .30
#Earnings — $FOSL reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Nov. 7, 2018 AC +5.75%
Aug. 7, 2018 AC -11.63%
May 8, 2018 AC +9.06%
Feb. 13, 2018 AC +87.72% Biggest UP
Nov. 7, 2017 AC -17.22%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -25.08%
May 9, 2017 AC -20.44%
Feb. 14, 2017 AC -14.82%
Nov. 3, 2016 AC +3.52%
Aug. 9, 2016 AC +0.69%
May 10, 2016 AC -29.07% Biggest DOWN
Feb. 16, 2016 AC +28.55%
Avg (+ or -) 21.13%
Bias 1.42%, slight positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 16.20 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 13.28 to 19.12
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 12.78 to 19.62
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (87.7%): 1.99 to 30.41
#Earnings — $YELP reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.
Nov. 8, 2018 AC -26.59% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 8, 2018 AC +26.65%
May 10, 2018 AC -7.81%
Feb. 7, 2018 AC -14.04%
Nov. 1, 2017 AC -0.10%
Aug. 3, 2017 AC +27.66% Biggest UP
May 9, 2017 AC -18.35%
Feb. 9, 2017 AC -13.64%
Nov. 2, 2016 BO +9.94%
Aug. 9, 2016 AC +12.83%
May 5, 2016 AC +23.71%
Feb. 8, 2016 AC -2.30%
Avg (+ or -) 15.30%
Bias 1.50%, slight positive bias on earnings.
With stock at 38.75 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 33.76 to 43.74
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 32.82 to 44.68
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (27.7%): 28.03 to 49.47
#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
Sold $SQ Feb 22nd 77 calls for 2.05. Earnings are the following week.
#earnings TRIP ATVI
Sometimes the plan works
Sold TRIP 47.50/72.50 strangle for 1.20, bought today for .29
Sold ATVI 35/50 strangle for 1.03, bought today for .64
Thanks to Jeff for the data.
sometimes it doesn’t, still messin around with EA and GS
#Earnings Funny story. I have two orders in to sell at 2.75, both 1-lots. And I had another order to sell 3 for 3.00. Guess which one filled?
Sold $SHOP #DoubleCalendar for 3.00. Bought for 1.60 on Monday.
Options Bistro 