SQ Earnings

#Earnings – Sold SQ MAR 1 2019 83.0/78.0 Bull Put Spread @ 2.76

#pietrades

LAST ONE:

OSTK STO 3/1/19 19.5 PUT @1.06

#earnings SQ Sold April 18,… MNST

#earnings SQ
SQ Sold April 18, 60/95 strangle for 3.28
MNST bought March 1/8,54/62 double calendar for .28, thanks Mama and Jeff

ANOTHER:

OSTR STO 3/1/19 22.0 CALLS @1.00 2 Days and 1 hr. to expiration. ;>)

A TRADE:

OSTK BTO STOCK 21.19
OSTK STO 3/1/19 21.0 ITM CALLS @1.40 Expires Friday

SQ calls, earnings

#Earnings #LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
Sold $SQ March 1st 85 calls for 1.08. Against my 2020 110 long call LEAPs.

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 28th 2735/2755-2820/2835 condors for .80. (IV 10.1%, SPX 2794)

MNST double double calendar

Bot MNST Mar 1/8 62 call cal and Mar 1/8 54 put cal @ .20 (EM strikes)
Bot MNST Mar 1/8 58 call cal and Mar 2/8 58 put cal @ .20 (ATM strike)
Total cost for four calendars: $40
Thanks to @jeffcp66 for continuing to trade this strategy after I abandoned it.:-)
#DubDubCal

#doublecalendar

BUD trade and earnings analysis

#Earnings — Bought to open $BUD Mar01/Mar08 75 #DoubleCalendar for .48. Looking at the daily chart, BUD is not the king of big moves. I’ve said it all.

$BUD reports tomorrow morning. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 25, 2018 BO -9.37% Biggest DOWN
July 26, 2018 BO -5.02%
May 9, 2018 BO -0.31%
March 1, 2018 BO +3.07%
Oct. 26, 2017 BO -0.94%
July 27, 2017 BO +6.16% Biggest UP
May 4, 2017 BO +5.68%
March 2, 2017 BO -3.72%
Oct. 28, 2016 BO -3.80%
July 29, 2016 BO +2.79%
May 4, 2016 BO -2.98%
Feb. 25, 2016 BO -2.38%

Avg (+ or -) 3.85%
Bias -0.90%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 75.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 71.07 to 78.93
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 72.11 to 77.89
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (9.4%): 67.97 to 82.03

Open to requests for other symbols.

MNST trade and earnings analysis

#Earnings — Bought to open $MNST Mar01/Mar08 58 #DoubleCalendar for .23, .246, and .25.

$MNST reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 7, 2018 AC -3.16%
Aug. 8, 2018 AC +2.65%
May 8, 2018 AC -7.47%
Feb. 28, 2018 AC -14.43% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +1.17%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -1.14%
May 4, 2017 AC +3.30%
March 1, 2017 AC +12.75% Biggest UP
Nov. 3, 2016 AC -3.55%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC +2.47%
April 29, 2016 BO +12.81%
Feb. 25, 2016 AC -1.74%

Avg (+ or -) 5.55%
Bias 0.31%, small positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 58.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 54.07 to 61.93
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 54.78 to 61.22
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (14.1%): 49.63 to 66.37

Open to requests for other symbols.

SPX 1-dte closed

BTC SPX Feb27 2845/2850 BeCS @ .05 x2. STO @ .35 x2. $60 profit
BTC SPX Feb27 2825/2830 BeCS @ .05 x4. STO @ .35 x4. $120 profit
BTC SPX Feb27 2755/2750 BuPS @ .05 x2. STO @ .25 x2. $40 profit
BTC SPX Feb27 2765/2760 BuPS @ .05 x2. STO @ .25 x2. $40 profit
Total profit $280
#spx1-dte

TRADES:

OSTK STO 3/1/19 18.0 NTM CALLS @.65 Just for the premium. Expires in 2.5 days.
HIIQ STO 3/15/19 NTM CALLS @4.50

SPX 1-dte

Building another short-term SPX position
STO Feb28 2755/2750 BuPS @ .30 x2
STO Feb28 2815/2820 BeCS @ .25 x2
STO Feb28 2815/2820 BeCS @ .35 x4
STO Feb28 2815/2820 BeCS @ .30 x2
STO Feb28 2765/2760 BuPS @ .30 x2
STO Feb28 2765/2760 BuPS @ .30 x4
BTC Feb28 2815/2820 BeCS @ .05 x8. Profit $210
BTC Feb 28 2755/2750 BuPS @ .05 x2. Profit $50
BTC Feb28 2765/2760 BuPS @ .05 x6. Profit $150
Total profit $410
#spx1dte

TRADES:

HIIQ BTO STOCK @37.75

/NQ and Market Tide

#Scalping – I did not trade this…woulda coulda shoulda…this is the entry I look for. A big move to a round number and the printing of the reversal. Would be a safe entry with stop beyond the “roundy”.

nq

TRADES:

SFIX BTO stock to cover short calls @27.45
HIIQ STO 3/15/19 33.0 PUTS @1.70
HIIQ STO 3/15/19 CALLS @2.90 Stock reported & crashed

TRADES: Yesterday, couldn’t post because…

TRADES: Yesterday, couldn’t post because program wouldn’t let me????

PBYI STO 3/1/19 29.0 CALLS @1.08
SQ STO 3/1/19 72/67 BuPS

PANW call spread

Sold $PANW Apr 18 265/275 bear call spread for 1.49

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Closed $SPX Feb 27th 2755/2735 put spreads for .20. Would have allowed to expire but I have to be away from my desk for a time today. Order in to close the 2820 short calls for .05. Condors sold yesterday for 1.10.

WTW

#LongCalls #LEAPS – The incredible becomes “incredibler”. I’ll continue selling 20 -25 cents per week indefinitely. Feels like a member of the family now!

SQ earnings analysis

#Earnings — $SQ reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 7, 2018 AC +8.48%
Aug. 8, 2018 AC -11.38%
May 7, 2018 AC +7.84%
Feb. 21, 2018 AC -27.23% Biggest DOWN
Nov. 1, 2017 AC -20.10%
Aug. 2, 2017 AC -1.08%
May 10, 2017 AC +5.58%
Feb. 22, 2017 AC -18.13%
Nov. 4, 2015 AC +9.99%
Aug. 5, 2015 AC +10.00% Biggest UP
May 6, 2015 AC -7.90%
Feb. 26, 2015 AC -6.34%

Avg (+ or -) 11.17%
Bias -4.19%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 78.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 72.38 to 84.62
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 69.73 to 87.27
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (27.2%): 57.12 to 99.88

Open to requests for other symbols.

AZO closed

#Earnings #IronCondor Bougtht to close $AZO March 1st 940/945 call spreads for .35. Leaving put spread to expire or shorts to close for .05. Condor sold for 2.30 on Monday.