STMP

#FallingKnife

TQQQ calls

#LongLEAPs #SyntheticCoveredCalls
Bought to close $TQQQ Feb 22nd 48 calls for 1.70. Sold for 2.20 on Feb 12th. Will sell more tomorrow.

VXX put spread

Bought $VXX 3/15 33.50/28.50 bear put spread for 2.38 with VXX at 32.04. Looking to take 50% out of this so will close for around 3.70-3.80. Breakeven in a little more than 2 weeks is 31.12. Using to offset some more old SVXY positions that I’m tracking.

#earnings #shortstrangles BIDU Not exactly…

#earnings #shortstrangles BIDU

Not exactly an earnings trade, sold April 18, 140/200 strangle for 2.24.

#earnings #closing DECK Jan. 31,…

#earnings #closing DECK

Jan. 31, sold March 15, 100/150 strangle for 2.22, DECK went up to 146, now down 3 consecutive days and the trade finally turned slightly profitable, bought today for 1.85.

NTES

#ShortPuts #IRA – Out of the earnings trade but still looking for some China exposure. Taking another shot a little lower…

Sold NTES APR 18 2019 190.0 Put @ 2.90

Dub Cals

#Earnings #DoubleCalendar

Bought $AAOI Feb22/Mar01 14.5 dbl cals for .27
Bought $FLR Feb22/Mar01 38 dbl cals for .45

SPX 1-dte

#SPX1dte Sold to Open $SPX Feb 22nd 2725/2745-2805/2825 condors for .90. (IV: 10.17%, SPX 2774)

NTES

#Earnings #JadeLizard – Taking off the call side but still holding the 217.50 put for now….

Bought to Close NTES FEB 22 2019 232.5/237.5 Bear Call Spread @ .03

#spxcampaign STO SPX 2-22-19 BeCS…

#spxcampaign
STO SPX 2-22-19 BeCS 2805/2819 at 0.20

#earnings Z Sold March 15,…

#earnings Z

Sold March 15, 30/40 strangle for 1.35, tempting fate. In August I sold an earnings 45/55 that took until the end of December to settle. Thanks for the info Jeff.

How is #markettide working?? Have…

How is #markettide working?? Have not seen it mentioned lately.

CVS post earnings

Sold $CVS Apr 18 60 puts @ 1.26 with the stock at 62.79

#pietrades

NVDA April

Sold $NVDA Apr 18 140 puts @ 3.30. Thanks for the idea @fuzzballl.

Z earnings analysis

#Earnings — $Z reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 6, 2018 AC -26.92% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 6, 2018 AC -14.77%
May 7, 2018 AC -1.44%
Feb. 8, 2018 AC -2.67%
Nov. 7, 2017 AC +2.67%
Aug. 8, 2017 AC -9.05%
May 4, 2017 AC +9.29%
Feb. 7, 2017 AC -6.37%
Nov. 1, 2016 AC +6.32%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC -4.73%
May 3, 2016 AC +12.05% Biggest UP
Feb. 11, 2016 AC -0.89%

Avg (+ or -) 8.10%
Bias -3.04%, negative bias on earnings.

With stock at 34.20 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 30.28 to 38.12
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 31.43 to 36.97
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (26.9%): 24.99 to 43.41

Open to requests for other symbols.

BIDU “Earnings”

#ShortPuts #IRA – Not really an earnings play but if it works out that way I’ll take it. Mainly trying to acquire some stock for longer term covered call sales…

Sold BIDU FEB 22 2019 167.5 Put @ 2.93

ROKU earnings analysis

#Earnings — $ROKU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over its entire history.

Nov. 7, 2018 AC -22.29% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 8, 2018 AC +21.31%
May 9, 2018 AC -1.71%
Feb. 21, 2018 AC -17.71%
Nov. 8, 2017 AC +54.93% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 23.59%
Bias 6.91%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 52.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 44.88 to 59.12
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 39.73 to 64.27
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (54.9%): 23.44 to 80.56

Open to requests for other symbols.

BIDU earnings analysis

#Earnings — $BIDU reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Oct. 30, 2018 AC +3.64%
July 31, 2018 AC -7.73%
April 26, 2018 AC +5.54%
Feb. 13, 2018 AC +4.56%
Oct. 26, 2017 AC -8.15% Biggest DOWN
July 27, 2017 AC +9.45%
April 27, 2017 AC -4.06%
Feb. 23, 2017 AC -5.12%
Oct. 27, 2016 AC +2.56%
July 28, 2016 AC -3.64%
April 28, 2016 AC +4.45%
Feb. 25, 2016 AC +9.84% Biggest UP

Avg (+ or -) 5.73%
Bias 0.95%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 171.00 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 161.90 to 180.10
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 161.20 to 180.80
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (9.8%): 154.17 to 187.83

Open to requests for other symbols.

UVXY

#DiagonalBearCallSpreads – Selling diagonals against free March 90 short calls. Not as risky as it looks with ITM short puts helping.

Sold UVXY MAR 15 2019 52.5 Calls @ 1.42

OLED earnings analysis

#Earnings — $OLED reports tonight. Below are details on earnings one-day moves over the last 12 quarters.

Nov. 1, 2018 AC -20.50% Biggest DOWN
Aug. 9, 2018 AC +13.54%
May 3, 2018 AC +12.43%
Feb. 22, 2018 AC -15.81%
Nov. 2, 2017 AC +9.52%
Aug. 3, 2017 AC -1.30%
May 4, 2017 AC +23.87% Biggest UP
Feb. 23, 2017 AC +20.08%
Nov. 3, 2016 AC +2.98%
Aug. 4, 2016 AC -8.01%
May 5, 2016 AC -0.76%
Feb. 25, 2016 AC -11.45%

Avg (+ or -) 11.69%
Bias 2.05%, positive bias on earnings.

With stock at 117.50 the data suggests these ranges:
Based on current IV (expected move into Friday per TOS): 105.41 to 129.59
Based on AVERAGE move over last 12 quarters: 103.77 to 131.23
Based on MAXIMUM move over last 12 Q’s (23.9%): 89.45 to 145.55

Open to requests for other symbols.

Closing EWZ

Bought to close $EWZ Mar 15 46/51 BeCS for .32. Sold for .66 on 2/14.

HLF Double Cal. Jeff

Was wondering what TOS Modeling shows about potential profit for today?