#spycraft Did not have time…

#spycraft

Did not have time to post or look at trades until the end of the day but I think it is time to at least think about an adjustment to the Jan 19 IC at 260/256 put side and the 272/276 call side.

There are many options but here is what I am looking at.

1. Buy back 3 of the short calls. That basically takes us flat, $21 profit but still max loss of $730 if you let it ride to expiration and we are above 272. Decreases the max loss from 4k but still ouch. The advantage is if it keeps going above 278 you start making money again. I am not betting on it for only 16 days left but possible.

2. close it out at current prices. Made 0.16 on the put side, lost 0.30 on the call side so basically a break even. Then flat for next week. No gain but no loss to capital and can recycle.

3. Buy some long calls, I like the 268 call with a delta of 0.68. Of course we go directional at this point but break even is then 270 and at 272 we make $610 on 5 contracts and there is no further upside risk, in fact if you keep going make some decent cash. 280 or higher and you are up 2770+ but that is a big if. You would buy 5 of the SPY Jan 19 268 calls for around $3.29. Max loss down to 1390 from 268 down to 260. Still ouch but better than a 4k loss. You could go a little cheaper going to the 270 for 1.80 and only changes the graph a few hundred.

4. Roll it out a few weeks and hope for a pull back. We could roll the 272 out to 274 at 28 DTE for about even money then buy the 277 for 0.16 after selling the 276 for about 0.09. So it will create a slight debit but we would also roll the put side up to 263/260 for 0.17 credit. Closing the other would cost about 0.07.

5. You can also diagonal, calendar, debit spread/credit spread it off, but I am looking at the cheapest ways to adjust or to get out at even or a tiny loss and not extend duration more than a few weeks.

Thoughts, comments, @jeffcp66 have any ideas, you have been doing this a lot longer than I have.

Wont do anything until I see how we open tomorrow.

Ooops I Did It Again (Apologies to Britney) Expirations/Closed Early/Trade

#optionsexpiration
$SPX 1/3 2650/2675 BUPS Full Profit Well done @jeffcp66
$SPX 1/3 2715/2690 BECS @ 92% of full loss

Closed Early
$SPX BTC 1/3 2645/2670 BUPS @ .05 99% profit Merci @jeffcp66
$BIDU BTC 1/19 210/220 BUPS @ .20 88% of max profit
$SNAP BTC 1/19/2018 13 put @ .05. STO 12/4/2017 @ .72 No commissions on .05 closes at Schwab

#spxcampaign
$SPX STO 1/16/2018 2675/2700 BUPS @ 5.00 Thank you @jeffcp66

#spxstrategy BTC, SPX 31 JAN…

#spxstrategy
BTC, SPX 31 JAN 18 2540/2520 PUT @.30 had sold for .75
sto on 12.29.17 /closed at 50 % in 5 days ,i will take it.

OK – got a Fuzzy…

OK – got a #Fuzzy in trouble in paper. Here it is: https://content.screencast.com/users/lulu99/folders/Jing/media/76d51b8f-9fcd-4c75-911c-590bbe90937b/2018-01-03_1734.png.

Do I just roll it or close it?

Thanks!

1/3/2018 #Fuzzy Trades Amazing two…

1/3/2018 #Fuzzy Trades
Amazing two days here. Wish I could hit a pause button. Or use the magic “flatten” button that Tom S. always wanted to develop for TOS. Wouldn’t that be great…..1 button and go flat everything with no slippage?
1. RCL What a gift here! I kept running fibs and symmetry on this knowing we were precariously close to serious support failure, but low volume kept me waiting it out. Got a nice roll today. BTC Jan 5 125 call for .14 STO Jan 12 123 call for 1.11cr.
2. MU Rode this up unhedged for a little ways and added a hedge back on, STO Jan 12 45 call for .76 cr
3. DWDP This was unhedged last week based on UOA I saw at the 74 line. I took the opp today to close it all out for a total $1500 gain.
4. AAPL BTC Jan 5 172.5 c for 1.92 sold Jan 18 175 c for 1.84. Pullback after the roll.
5. QQQ BTC Jan 5 158 c for 1.83 STO Jan 18 159 c for 1.99 cr.

Fuzzies left to manage this week:
CMCSA
IWM
JPM (EPS next week)
LMT-1
LMT-2
MCD

p.s. I still have an alternate RCL trade that went through multiple layers of defense. It started with a 123/120 BuPS, then I butterflied it, then added an IC at support. It is sitting under a significant profit umbrella graph, but hasn’t bumped much above the zero line yet.

I was joking around with some friends that I made enough today to buy a few Yugos. They didn’t know what a Yugo was. Sadly, I owned one.
https://youtu.be/-MknuRE2Bcg

INTC

STO January 2019, 35 puts @1.20

VIX lows

#VIXIndicator #Market

The VIX is trading under 9.00 for the sixth time ever.

SPX puts

#SPXcampaign Changed my mind… got enough pullback:
Sold $SPX Jan 16th 2700/2675 put spreads for 4.75.

SPX all calls gone

#SPXcampaign Closed my last short call spread:
$SPX Feb 2nd 2750/2775 call spreads for 3.60. Sold for 1.50 yesterday.

Waiting to roll. Whether we are up or down tomorrow I will sell new put spreads, but I’m going to wait in case we have a pullback. A mild pullback tomorrow will still likely result in an Upside Warning and would be a better place to start long positions than at all-time highs. Then again, we could just continue higher and get long anyway.

CSX

#Fuzzy

STC CSX May’18 +55C -55P +50P for 3.32, bought for 0.97 on 12/18/17. BTC CSX Jan05’18 55.5 calls for 1.50, sold for 0.39. Since this was a shorter term trade and since the stock has advanced well with the rest of the market and since earnings are on January 16 and since I see some green I decided to close this #Fuzzy. Booked $1.45 profit. Thank you @fuzzballl for pointing this one out!

NVDA

#SyntheticStock – Another roll up. Keeping this one ahead of earnings as well and picking up another 2.45 of upside.

Rolled NVDA JAN 5 2018 200.0 Calls to NVDA JAN 19 2018 202.5 Calls @ .05 debit

BABA

#SyntheticStock – Paying a small debit to keep this roll prior to earnings. Still picking up 2.20 of upside.

Rolled BABA JAN 5 2018 177.5 Calls to JAN 19 2018 180.0 Calls @ .30 debit

STO Jan 12 KSS 50/48…

STO Jan 12 KSS 50/48 .20 TGT Jan 12 62/60 .13
#IttyBitty

WYNN

#ShortStrangles and #PerpetualRollingStrangles – Finally pulling back so pairing my short puts up with the 140 strike calls. 30 points inverted with 27.20 premium received all together. Goal now is to start squeezing the inversion in a little or with enough of a pullback roll the calls up and take stock at a 142.80 basis.

Rolled WYNN JAN 5 2018 170.0 Puts to JAN 19 2018 170.0 Puts @ .40 credit

SPX reverse roll

#SPXcampaign I’m jumping on this train. It hasn’t failed lately and I don’t see any reason it’s going to fail now. Holding off on BUYING any longs… would like to see another day and maybe some slight pullback.

Stopped $SPX Jan 26th 2740/2765 call spreads for 4.10. Sold for 1.80 last week.
#ReverseRoll Jan 8th 2710/2685 put spreads for 6.20. Slightly ITM.

#spycraft

SPX

#RocketManHedge – Still chipping away at this since it looks like the Rocket Man will become a powerful and respected leader throughout civilization… 🙂 🙂

Rolled SPX JAN 10 2018 2660.0 Put to JAN 10 2018 2700.0 Put @ 5.20 credit

Letting my Jan hedge run to expiration with about a 6 point profit…

VRX

#Fuzzy

Roll VRX Jan05’18 22 calls to VRX Jan12’18 22.5 calls for 0.00. This lowers the delta on my short call from 0.83 to 0.62 so if the stock continues higher and I decide to close my #Fuzzy combo next week I should make a little mo.

SWKS

#CoveredCalls – Rolling up and out. TOS estimates earnings in the week I rolled into so IV was up a little. I think it will be the week after so might get a second shot at the earnings roll.

Rolled SWKS JAN 5 2018 98.0 Calls to JAN 19 2018 100.0 Calls @ .40 credit

#fallingknife ALK #shortputs AXDX On…

#fallingknife ALK #shortputs AXDX

On Nov. 3 sold April 55 put for 2.00, Nov. 8 sold 50 put for 1.15 , bought the 50 today for .20, order in for the 55. Thanks Iceman.

Sold Jan. 19, 25 put for .40, stock is at 28.60

If you didn't panic buy…

https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js

Closing more call spreads

#SPXcampaign
Closed Jan 26th 2740/2765 call spreads for 2.95. Sold last week for 1.70.
Closed Jan 5th 2795/2720 call spreads for 11.80. Sold in a condor Friday for 7.35. Letting the 2675/2650 put spreads expire.

#longcallspread, #reverseroll

#spxstrategy btc on gtc spx…

#spxstrategy

btc on gtc spx put , 2560/2540 @ .35 sold on 12.29.17 for .80
50% return in 5 days.will take it.

SPX puts sold

#SPXcampaign Sold $SPX Feb 2nd 2620/2595 put spreads for 1.50.

SPX calls stopped

#SPXcampaign Spent the weekend wondering if I’d be challenged on the put side. Wrong again!

Closed $SPX Jan 3rd 2690 calls for 11.60. Sold in a condor for 6.50 on Thursday. I will be rolling into something, not sure what yet. A new Upside warning may be firing tomorrow.

AMZN

BTC January 19, 1030/1080 bull put spread @.40, sold @1.40 on December 22

SPX #UOA Here’s one to…

SPX #UOA
Here’s one to just keep tabs on for fun. Yesterday Trader bought an opening #RiskReversal Selling June 2475 puts @33.50 x 5000 contracts to buy June 2775 calls @33.75 x 5000 contracts. This morning Trader is up $1,400,000 (pre-market mid)