Jan 17 #Fuzzy
Well I flattened out a LOT today. I’m pretty bad at picking tops, but I’m ready to take a little break and see if the market is too. On each of my closed index fuzzies I retained a single long put, just to tuck away for safe keeping. I took losses on closing out the index fuzzies this morning before the rally really took off, and I took a loss and closed out EXEL. This is what I built up the fuzzy profit cushion to handle though. So the new net profit on CLOSED fuzzies is $42,595 (since 2nd week of December). A huge amount of risk has been cleared off my table for now.

Open Fuzzies: MU 1, MU 2, EXAS 1, EXAS 2, JPM, GWPH, and a new one on DIS.

I ventured into the world of Double Fuzzies today with SPY. So I have a SPY long fuzzy, hedged, and a SPY Fuzzy Bear, Hedged, in the same account. This is 8-fuzzy legs, maybe a tarantula? The bear is a 278/278/280 for 1.86 with a Jan 26 276 hedge @ .98.

Jan 16 #Fuzzy Land
This was a day about luck for me. I woke up with the thought that I really want to cut down tickers so I can have a stronger focus on fewer positions. The market opened strong, and I had a chance to close some fuzzies for nice profits. I closed CELG (my now oldest Fuzzy), MNST, ADSK, MCD, NVDA, BABA (BABA captured a quick $2150 profit before tanking, really lucky on that one), COST. My total net profit now on CLOSED fuzzies is $45,741 in about 5 weeks. That was the good news of the day.
I also opened the day pulling off hedges on all my SPY and QQQ Fuzzies. Of course, they were net debit to remove, and then the market had it’s little sell off. As the market was selling off I set up new non-hedged fuzzies in IWM and DIA and parked them with “blue sky” prices. I kind of lost track of them and the blue sky prices hit. So on IWM I have Feb 158/158/155 for 1.34 and in DIA Feb 259/259/256 for 2.00. So lots of index fuzzies right now with no hedges on. I also have a new non-hedged GLD fuzzy Feb 127/127/124 @ .72.

Fuzzy seniority now goes to MU as my oldest position.

CELG is a pretty good story about the power of fuzzies. That one was set with a $110 synthetic. Since setting it, the stock has fallen to a low of 101. I’ve kept it hedged constantly, sometimes with debit rolls, sometimes beautiful weekly profits. So despite CELG falling from $110 to the low 100’s I was able to net out $764 (on a 10-lot). And honestly, I didn’t do nearly as well as I could have. I’d give myself a C+ in managing it.

I have my very first Trader’s Almanac. Fun little book! It shows tomorrow (Wed) is the strongest day of the month, historically. If that ends up being the case, I’d like to peel back on some of the index fuzzies that I have.

Jan 12 #fuzzy
Fair question on the last post about risk. I’m always VERY concerned about risk. Being concerned about risk cost me a LOT of money this week. I’m planning to open a shelter for battered hedge sellers. I have a feeling a few folks here will be standing in line with me. I’ve had a wonderful start to the year. Except that I probably lost 20K in hedge rolls this week. But here’s what I’m doing to address risk: I’m closing fuzzies every few $ move up in underlying, taking the profits and resetting them. They are being reset smaller and tighter. Much as I would like to stay unhedged, I just can’t. So my Fuzzies are smaller in size, tighter in spread, and still hedged. So I’m not making as much as my brave hedgeless friends, but I know I can handle a crash. Fuzzy design started for me with $10-wide protection on the puts. Now they are all $3-$5.00. Also by closing and rolling them frequently, the long puts are retaining most of the their value.

The net on my CLOSED fuzzies is now $38,615. So that’s a nice crash cushion.
Current amount of hedges on open positions net collected and sold: 18,770.00

Just some highlights:
1. Closed TGT due to runaway hedges for net $870, but 300% on the core
2. Closed and reset all the Q’s with tighter puts for a net of $4235
3. Closed AAPL for a net of $3300.00 due to older design with $10.00 spread risk
4. New MU Fuzzy on the recent dip, nice weekly premium Mar2 43/43/41 @1.77 w/ 44.5 call hedge
5. New JPM Jun 110/110/105 @ 5.18 with 112 hedge (might be too tight)
6. COST flipped the cards and put on a bull fuzzy here with shored up technicals Mar 190/190/185 @ 5.20 with a 195 hedge due to squeeze and “RAF buy” indicator
7. SPY is all reset with 277/277/274 with hedges

Hey….Remember “SPX Guy?”(ok, maybe not a guy) On January 2? The guy that did the 5000 Risk reversal in SPX? I’ve been tracking that trade just for fun. How would you like $30,975,000 in 9 days.

I’m very happy to have this 3-day weekend! Hoping rest and recharge for all of you, too!